https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2009-00439-1
A statistical analysis of product prices in online markets
1
Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Kunitachi, Tokyo, 186-8603, Japan
2
Hitotsubashi University and Canon Institute for Global Studies, Tokyo, 186-8603, Japan
Corresponding authors: a mizuno@ier.hit-u.ac.jp - b tsutomu.w@srv.cc.hit-u.ac.jp
Received:
5
July
2009
Revised:
30
October
2009
Published online:
31
December
2009
We empirically investigate fluctuations in product prices in online markets by using a tick-by-tick price data collected from a Japanese price comparison site, and find some similarities and differences between product and asset prices. The average price of a product across e-retailers behaves almost like a random walk, although the probability of price increase/decrease is higher conditional on the multiple events of price increase/decrease. This is quite similar to the property reported by previous studies about asset prices. However, we fail to find a long memory property in the volatility of product price changes. Also, we find that the price change distribution for product prices is close to an exponential distribution, rather than a power law distribution. These two findings are in a sharp contrast with the previous results regarding asset prices. We propose an interpretation that these differences may stem from the absence of speculative activities in product markets; namely, e-retailers seldom repeat buy and sell of a product, unlike traders in asset markets.
© EDP Sciences, Società Italiana di Fisica, Springer-Verlag, 2009